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BNEF:到2025年太阳能将成为孟加拉国最便宜的能源

2023-10-10 09:56来源:北极星太阳能光伏网 据彭博新能源财经(BNEF)最新发布的《Bangladesh Power Sector at the Crossroads》报告中指出,由于光伏技术成本的不断降低,太阳能将在2025年成为孟加拉国最便宜的能源;到 2030年,带有储能电池的太阳能系统 (PVS) 的平准化电力成本 (LCOE) 将比新建火力发电厂更便宜。 目前,孟加拉国建设公用事业规模太阳能项目的平准化电力成本(LCOE)在97-135美元/MWh之间,而联合循环燃气轮机(CCGT)的LCOE为88-116美元/MWh,煤电厂为110-150美元/MWh。 展望未来,BNEF预测在该国建设PVS系统将比新建煤炭和天然气发电厂更具有成本竞争力。到2030年PVS系统的LCOE预计将降至66-134美元/MWh,到2050年将降至37-84美元/MWh。 BNEF在题为十字路口的孟加拉国电力行业的文章中提出,建设新的火力发电厂、将氨与煤混合燃烧以及将氢气与天然气混合以减少排放,并不是该国减少排放的最佳途径,并且这将给该国带来巨大的金融风险。 然而,孟加拉国政府在其综合能源和电力总体规划(IEPMP)草案中“忽视或低估”了该国的可再生能源潜力以及太阳能和风能等成熟技术的作用,反而强调了氢、氨和碳捕获等仍处于发展阶段的技术。 BNEF报告的合著者Caroline Chua表示:“可再生能源可以通过降低对液化天然气和煤炭进口的依赖来改善国家的能源安全,同时也可以创造新的就业机会。分析表明,即使化石燃料价格下跌,可再生能源仍将比火力发电厂更经济。”