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IHS Markit下调2018年全球光伏需求预测至105GW

IHS Markit下调2018年全球光伏需求预测至105GW 日前,中国突然的政策转变后,IHSMarkit已将2018年的全球光伏装机量预测从113GW下调至105GW。 IHSMarkit预计,全球的加速需求将部分弥补中国的需求下降,2018年装机量仍将比2017年增长11%。IHSMarkit对中国的光伏新增量预测从53吉瓦下调到38吉瓦,并表示其中大部分装机容量已经在上半年完成。 IHSMarkit表示,对于全球光伏产业而言,2018年剩余时间将面临供应商过度生产和高度竞争的特点。IHSMarkit表示:“中国宣布的价格战已经启动,将重燃被压抑需求地区的光伏需求,这些地区的购买者一直暂停项目而在等待较低的组件价格。” 较低的组件价格预计将有利于印度和澳大利亚等市场。在欧洲,如果8月份最低进口限价被取消,光伏行业将加快安装,而美国将抵消201案的进口关税并推动组件进口。 IHSMarkit补充说,全球装机量取决于2018年下半年快速涌现的新兴地区的购买意愿,或等待价格进一步下跌。 据IHSMarkit称,未来两三年光伏行业的前景会出现更大的问号。然而,经过又一轮供应过剩,行业盈利能力低下和整合后,光伏产品将提升其在新市场上的竞争力。